Knowledge Base

Bob Farrell’s 10 market rules:

  1. Rule #01: Markets tend to return to the mean over time

  2. Rule #02: Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction

  3. Rule #03: There are no new eras - excesses are never permanent

  4. Rule #04: Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways

  5. Rule #05: The public buys the most at the top and the least at the bottom

  6. Rule #06: Fear and greed are stronger than long-term resolve

  7. Rule #07: Markets are stronger when they are broad, and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names

  8. Rule #08: Bear markets have three stages - sharp down, reflexive rebound, and a draw-out fundamental downtrend

  9. Rule #09: When all the experts and forecasts agree - something else is going to happen

  10. Rule #10: Bull markets are more fun than bear markets

Lance Roberts (from Real Investment Advice) has a fantastic paper on these rules: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-rules-of-bob-farrell-an-updated-illustrated-guide/